Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.288982 4.623569 4.983171 5.400370 5.873583 6.396664 7.022786
2025-05-04 3.815383 4.293762 4.844073 5.532447 6.382921 7.416605 8.796364
2025-05-11 3.461145 4.004011 4.656923 5.516750 6.646151 8.121035 10.270867
2025-05-18 3.191548 3.767912 4.484566 5.466506 6.820945 8.698707 11.656010
2025-05-25 2.937188 3.519350 4.261185 5.308473 6.808859 8.991175 12.658940
2025-06-01 2.746009 3.332354 4.095546 5.201769 6.841717 9.335705 13.799366
2025-06-08 2.624908 3.225638 4.024266 5.213204 7.039337 9.951606 15.541598
2025-06-15 2.542800 3.163347 4.005709 5.293841 7.345597 10.786393 17.923496
2025-06-22 2.387711 2.990834 3.819187 5.105387 7.197698 10.812909 18.680090
2025-06-29 2.266622 2.858493 3.680923 4.977675 7.132920 10.974137 19.773437
2025-07-06 2.164003 2.746443 3.564673 4.873704 7.094668 11.174966 21.019757
2025-07-13 2.094731 2.677900 3.507531 4.857425 7.204020 11.675362 23.184986
2025-07-20 2.060124 2.660673 3.530371 4.980150 7.591318 12.846979 27.833425
2025-07-27 2.021477 2.635991 3.541074 5.085466 7.965859 14.096202 33.637652
2025-08-03 1.957789 2.570674 3.484466 5.070635 8.107141 14.853657 38.418576
2025-08-10 1.892681 2.499878 3.414715 5.026374 8.183134 15.473508 43.252325
2025-08-17 1.811927 2.401912 3.296577 4.887273 8.048182 15.531589 45.760321
2025-08-24 1.746219 2.324220 3.207087 4.793203 7.997185 15.803839 49.638390
2025-08-31 1.706311 2.284302 3.176377 4.803289 8.169596 16.732235 58.217314
2025-09-07 1.680939 2.265559 3.178891 4.874380 8.485230 18.171395 72.657872
2025-09-14 1.611745 2.175894 3.059882 4.708123 8.243799 17.858085 74.175965
2025-09-21 1.556290 2.106104 2.971403 4.595230 8.115846 17.885068 78.790956
2025-09-28 1.507723 2.045619 2.896108 4.503185 8.027687 18.026159 84.938419